The abundance of Walgreens and CVS Well being shops makes them handy for every time Shriya Raghavan, a analysis affiliate primarily based in Philadelphia, wants to choose up requirements like gum, deodorant and cleaning soap.
However she mentioned she typically has to attend for workers to unlock cupboards or stand in prolonged traces to choose up prescriptions as pharmacists juggle duties.
These are simply a number of the methods Walgreens and CVS are falling out of favor with customers, in a pattern that has hit their income and inventory costs and compelled them to rethink their methods. They’re signs of deeper points plaguing retail pharmacy chains, which pivoted from years of retailer expansions to shuttering a whole bunch of places throughout the U.S. to shore up income.
Shares of each CVS and Walgreens have tumbled within the final 10 years, however CVS has fared higher among the many two.
Among the many greatest issues for the chains, reimbursement charges for pharmaceuticals have fallen. Inflation, softer shopper spending, theft, and competitors from Amazon and grocery shops are additionally making it tough for drugstores to show a revenue on the entrance of the shop, the place they promote every thing from pantry staples to make-up and cleansing provides.
There’s additionally widespread burnout amongst pharmacy workers, a lot of whom complain about understaffing and growing workloads.
A lot of these points aren’t new. Whereas CVS and Walgreens obtained a brief enhance from Covid vaccinations and check gross sales through the peak of the pandemic, they now face a harsh actuality: the retail pharmacy mannequin could also be damaged.
“As issues have began to normalize, we’re reverting again to the challenges that the retail pharmacy business had confronted even earlier than Covid,” Jefferies analyst Brian Tanquilut instructed CNBC. “I believe most of those pharmacies are realizing that basically, their companies have not likely modified.”
The outside of a CVS pharmacy retailer is seen on August 07, 2024 in Austin, Texas.
Brandon Bell | Getty Photographs
Falling retail pharmacy revenue margins solely add to the woes at each Walgreens and CVS.
Whereas Walgreens struggles with its push into main care, CVS’ backside line is getting battered by increased medical prices in its insurance coverage enterprise. CVS earlier this month slashed its full-year revenue outlook for the third consecutive quarter and introduced $2 billion in new price cuts over a number of years as these increased medical prices squeeze the insurance coverage business.
It is not simply these two chains: Ceremony Help, as soon as a viable competitor, declared chapter final yr and is closing a whole bunch of retailer places because it restructures.
Wall Avenue hasn’t been completely happy. Shares of Walgreens are down almost 60% this yr and 80% over the past decade. CVS’ inventory is down nearly 30% each for this yr and the final 10 years. In the meantime, Ceremony Help’s widespread inventory was delisted from the New York Inventory Change in October.
Nonetheless, retail pharmacy chains stay an essential fixture of the U.S. health-care system that tens of tens of millions of Individuals depend on. They could simply must reinvent themselves.
“The retail pharmacy business goes by a interval of soul-searching, making an attempt to know the most effective mannequin to succeed in the patron,” mentioned GlobalData retail managing director Neil Saunders. “Shopper habits have modified, a number of the economics of operating drugstores and pharmacies have modified and the retailers within the sector are actually having to reappraise how they do enterprise to take care of profitability and preserve a viable enterprise mannequin.”
Listed here are the principle elements difficult the pharmacy enterprise, and what CVS and Walgreens are doing to adapt.
Falling pharmacy reimbursement charges
A lot of the ache for retail pharmacies comes from decrease prescription drug reimbursement charges.
Pharmacies sometimes purchase their drugs from a distributor after which get reimbursed by pharmacy profit managers, or PBMs. The highly effective drug provide middlemen additionally negotiate reductions with producers on behalf of insurers and create lists of medicines coated by well being plans.
The three largest PBMs – CVS Well being’s Caremark, UnitedHealth Group‘s Optum Rx and Cigna‘s Categorical Scripts – deal with nearly 80% of all prescriptions within the U.S.
Pharmacies have accused PBMs of setting decrease reimbursement charges, which, in some instances, can imply pharmacies receives a commission lower than the price of shopping for and allotting a prescription. These middlemen are additionally accused of providing “take it or go away it” contracts when negotiating reimbursements with pharmacies, successfully forcing them to just accept decrease charges to allow them to preserve entry to sufferers coated by PBMs.
“There is not any leverage. There is not any negotiating energy on the facet of the retail pharmacies,” Tanquilut instructed CNBC. “So we have seen a constant stress on margins on the pharmacy facet over the past a number of years to the purpose the place that is an enormous problem.”
The working margin for Walgreens’ U.S. retail pharmacy unit was -5% final yr, down from 3.9% in 2019 and 4.4% in 2015. In the meantime, CVS’ working margin for its pharmacy and shopper wellness enterprise was 4.6% final yr, up from 3.3% in 2022 however down from 8.5% in 2019 and 9.9% in 2015.
Walgreens CEO Tim Wentworth acknowledged these headwinds throughout an earnings name in June.
“We’re at some extent the place the present pharmacy mannequin just isn’t sustainable and the challenges in our working atmosphere require, we method the market in another way,” he mentioned. “For instance, we’re in lively discussions with our PBM and payer companions to align incentives and guarantee we’re paid pretty.”
CVS has a slight aggressive benefit over Walgreens because it has its personal PBM, and the margin stress from Caremark is probably going “not as extreme” as it’s for different PBMs, Tanquilut mentioned.
CVS in December additionally launched a brand new pharmacy reimbursement mannequin referred to as CostVantage, which is able to launch firstly of subsequent yr and use what the corporate calls a “clear” system to find out a medicine’s worth. A CVS spokesperson mentioned it can present extra readability and predictability for customers.
However some analysts instructed CNBC that it is nonetheless unclear how efficient that new mannequin might be.
In the meantime, Saunders mentioned extra customers are utilizing on-line pharmacy providers comparable to PillPack, a subsidiary of Amazon Pharmacy, to get their prescription drugs. He famous that on-line pharmacy success stays “pretty small within the scheme of issues,” however mentioned it’s “undoubtedly rising and placing a bit of little bit of stress on a number of the conventional pharmacy chains.”
Entrance-of-store woes
A Walgreens truck parks close to a CVS Pharmacy on March 10, 2023 in New York Metropolis.
Leonardo Munoz | Corbis Information | Getty Photographs
E-commerce rivals, discounters and big-box retailers are a good larger menace to the retail facet of Walgreens’ and CVS’ pharmacy companies.
As competitors mounts, the chains’ on-line retail presence has additionally lagged behind these of Amazon and different retailers like Walmart and Goal, based on Leerink Companions analyst Michael Cherny.
“It wasn’t as possible that a person pre-Covid, and even the early days of Covid, would suppose firstly of going to CVS.com or Walgreens.com for buying,” Cherny mentioned. “[CVS and Walgreens] had been behind on e-commerce.”
Inflation can also be squeezing customers, who’ve grow to be extra prudent with their purchases. A budget-conscious shopper is extra prone to store at retailers together with Walmart, a greenback retailer or Costco, regardless of the comfort the retail pharmacies provide, Cherny famous.
Brittainy Lynn, a 38-year-old freelancer primarily based in Austin, Texas, mentioned it “looks like costs are actually excessive” at Walgreens and CVS in contrast with different shops.
“It’s not my first alternative,” Lynn instructed CNBC. “Walmart or Goal is usually the place I discover issues I would like for the most affordable worth. I do frequent Greenback Tree as nicely, however not likely for necessities.”
Walgreens and CVS have blamed weaker retail gross sales partially on customers watching their spending.
Earlier this month, CVS mentioned same-store gross sales on the entrance of the shop had been down roughly 4% through the second quarter from the identical interval a yr in the past, which displays a “normal softening of shopper demand.”
Walgreens in June mentioned same-store retail gross sales decreased 2.3% through the fiscal third quarter in contrast with the year-earlier interval. The corporate mentioned its U.S. retail pharmacy enterprise confronted “important challenges” in a “worse-than-expected shopper atmosphere.”
Walgreens and CVS have each elevated their concentrate on their private-label merchandise to lure in consumers who’ve traded down from nationwide manufacturers to beat inflation.
In an announcement, a Walgreens spokesperson mentioned the corporate is seeing “sturdy success amongst our personal model merchandise,” with model penetration “rising fairly properly.” They added that the corporate is increasing its number of merchandise, including 37 new objects alone within the second quarter. That “completely enhances shopper concentrate on worth,” the spokesperson mentioned.
Walgreens extra uncovered to retail pharmacy stress
Whereas the most important chains face lots of the similar hurdles, Walgreens is probably going extra uncovered to the pressures on its retail pharmacy enterprise than CVS is, Evercore ISI analyst Elizabeth Anderson instructed CNBC.
CVS operates a PBM and the nation’s third-largest well being insurer, Aetna, which may assist offset points on the retail pharmacy facet.
Walgreens and VillageMD
Supply: Walgreens
CVS’ retail pharmacy unit was the second-biggest contributor to gross sales final yr, raking in $116.76 billion. The corporate’s well being providers section, which operates Caremark and primary-care supplier Oak Avenue Well being, booked almost $187 billion in gross sales.
In the meantime, Walgreens will get the overwhelming majority of its income from its U.S. retail pharmacies. That enterprise unit took in greater than $109 billion final yr, dwarfing the $21.83 billion from its worldwide section and almost $1.8 billion from its health-care unit.
Walgreens’ worldwide section operates greater than 3,000 retail shops overseas, together with places of U.Okay.-based well being and wonder retailer Boots. The corporate’s health-care unit provides main care, pressing care and post-acute care providers, in addition to a specialty pharmacy, amongst different providers.
Whilst Walgreens tries to diversify its enterprise, the corporate has been “taking part in catch-up” with CVS within the health-care house, based on Jeffries’ Tanquilut.
Retail giants and pharmacies have been pushing to ship medical care on to sufferers, which may assist them seize a bigger slice of the greater than $4 trillion U.S. health-care business.
However a number of firms, together with Amazon, Walmart, CVS and Walgreens, are feeling the ache from bets on main care. That is as a result of constructing clinics requires a whole lot of capital, and the places sometimes lose cash for a number of years earlier than turning into worthwhile, based on Tanquilut.
In contrast to CVS, Walgreens may probably exit that market altogether. The corporate mentioned in a securities submitting final week it’s contemplating a sale of its primary-care supplier VillageMD.
Walgreens invested $1 billion in VillageMD in 2020, then one other $5.2 billion a yr later to grow to be its majority proprietor. However Walgreens began closing clinic places final yr. In March, the corporate recorded a hefty almost $6 billion cost associated to the decline in worth of its funding in VillageMD.
What’s the way forward for the retail pharmacy?
Retail pharmacies possible will not disappear quickly, particularly because the American inhabitants ages and extra individuals want to choose up prescriptions, Evercore’s Anderson mentioned.
However she mentioned they might not must “exist of their present kind.” That might probably imply growing their on-line presence, not promoting sure merchandise like greeting playing cards and shrinking retailer footprints.
“I believe there will be some experimentation with fashions there. It is extra of a query of what the brand new retail pharmacy mannequin will seem like,” Anderson instructed CNBC.
Walgreens has opened roughly 100 smaller-format shops, which have fewer front-of-store objects and over-the-counter medicines and have the corporate’s branded merchandise, a spokesperson mentioned in an announcement. Walgreens plans so as to add extra “mini drugstores” this yr.
Walgreens “mini-drugstores” being examined throughout the U.S.
Courtesy: Walgreens
The corporate can also be piloting a Chicago retailer location that focuses on “comfort and pace by digital pickup, pharmacy and grab-and-go options,” Walgreens mentioned on its web site. Most prescription or retail orders might be positioned and crammed at a counter, which may deter theft.
One other location in Aubrey, Texas, strikes the pharmacy to the entrance of the shop in a departure from the standard mannequin.
The corporate’s web site mentioned it doesn’t plan to roll out extra pilot shops till “learnings about what works and what does not are higher understood.”
In the meantime, a CVS spokesperson mentioned the corporate is “innovating to satisfy our clients’ and sufferers’ various wants.” The spokesperson pointed to the corporate’s private-label manufacturers, assortment of nationwide manufacturers, and loyalty program that provides reductions and advantages for sufferers.
The corporate has additionally opened Oak Avenue Well being primary-care facilities facet by facet with CVS pharmacies in Texas and Illinois, with plans to introduce round two dozen extra by the tip of the yr.
Shuttering shops to shore up income
Within the meantime, CVS and Walgreens are chopping prices.
Walgreens in June introduced plans to shutter a “important” variety of its 8,600 U.S. shops. The corporate’s CEO, Wentworth, mentioned solely 75% of the chain’s places had been worthwhile, and that a good portion of the opposite quarter may shutter by 2027.
In an announcement, a Walgreens spokesperson mentioned, “We now have lately exhibited the power to, and can proceed to make tough choices that profit our enterprise, as we establish alternatives that unlock worth, validate current pathways and lead [Walgreens] right into a profitable future.”
In 2021, CVS introduced it was shuttering 900 shops, or almost 10% of its U.S. retail places, over a three-year interval. CVS executives earlier this month mentioned the corporate is on observe to satisfy that objective by the tip of the yr, with 851 shops closed up to now.
In an announcement, a CVS spokesperson mentioned the shop closure choices are primarily based on inhabitants shifts, shopper spending patterns and a given neighborhood’s retailer density, amongst different elements. Even after the closures, 85% of individuals within the U.S. will nonetheless stay inside 10 miles of a CVS pharmacy, the spokesperson famous.
Amar Singh, senior director at retail consulting firm Kantar Group, mentioned shuttering underperforming places may assist Walgreens and CVS right-size their enterprise and determine “the best equation” for his or her shops that can win again consumers and shore up income.
However retailer closures may make it more durable for a lot of Individuals to get prescriptions, as pharmacy deserts grow to be extra widespread in underserved communities throughout the U.S.
In addition they could do little to repair a number of the deeper points plaguing retail pharmacies, based on Saunders. For instance, he mentioned addressing declining pharmacy reimbursement charges could require laws and lobbying, and “getting that finished is nearly doable.”
“In some methods, closing shops is a response to the issue. It is not the answer to the issue,” Saunders mentioned. “However long term, if different issues do not change, they’re going to most likely discover themselves in the identical place in 10 years time the place they’ve to shut extra shops.”